The Golden Globes only have one category for feature screenwriting. A surprise win this year, that award went to HER, written and directed by Spike Jonze.
How do the rest of the accolades stack up for scribes so far?
Only one screenplay has been nominated by all five organizations: NEBRASKA, a spec script by Bob Nelson, nominated in the Spirit's Best First Screenplay category. Clearly, this script is guaranteed a Best Original Screenplay nomination from the Academy.
Russell is a recent favorite of the Academy's, nominated twice for directing, with an extra nod last year for his adapted screenplay, Silver Linings Playbook, and Hustle just picked up the Globe for Best Motion Picture Comedy or Musical, plus lead and supporting actress trophies for Amy Adams and Jennifer Lawrence, giving it the most wins last night in features.
|Screenwriter John Ridley (12 Years a Slave)|
This leaves one slot open in the Original Recipe pile. The two most prominent candidates are Inside Llewyn Davis and Dallas Buyers Club. Davis comes from the Coen Brothers, winners of four previous Oscars (two for writing) and nominated nine other times (three for writing). Club’s only script recognition so far is from the WGA.
Last year, Oscar’s screenwriting categories had a few wild cards, like foreign language winner Amour, Flight, Moonrise Kingdom, and Beasts of the Southern Wild, none of which lined up significantly with other award ceremonies. The year before that it was Margin Call and foreign language winner A Separation. In 2011, it was Mike Leigh’s unscripted Another Year, following 2010’s surprise nod for the unscripted In The Loop.
For a possible upset in the adapted category, Tracy Letts’ adaptation of his play, AUGUST: OSAGE COUNTY, nominated for a WGA and Critics’ Choice award, could trump anything but Slave. Another unexpected nod could come from this weekend's surprise box office hit Lone Survivor by Peter Berg, which took the WGA nomination they couldn't give to Slave.
|Playwright/Screenwriter Tracy Letts (AUGUST: OSAGE COUNTY)|
|Father-Son screenwriters Alfonso Cuarón and Jonás Cuarón (GRAVITY)|
But enough second-guessing. Throwing in one long-shot in each category, here are our final predictions.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
August: Osage County
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Predicted Winners: 12 Years a Slave and Nebraska.
What are your predictions?